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Rabu, 01 Juni 2011

Weekly Economic Research (31-May-2011) - Economy: Rupiah weakened on risk aversion triggered by fiscal crisis in Europe - Mandiri

Market review
§ The rupiah weakened to Rp8,565/US$ and JCI fell to 3,832 on concern over worsening Euro-zone debt crisis and China’s projected slowing growth which led to risk aversion toward emerging markets asset.

Global economic update
§ US & UK second GDP estimates confirmed initial 1.8% annualized and 0.5% qoq growth in 1Q11. Yet, the detail highlighted weakening trend in private consumption.
§ Japan consumer price turn higher in April, the first inflation since Nov10. Fitch lowered its sovereign ratings outlook to negative.
§ Singapore’s inflation eased to 4.5% yoy, while Vietnam’s surged to 19.8% yoy in May11.

Domestic economic updat
e
§ Automotive sales drop in April, due to spare-part shortage from Japan. Yet, in cumulative the sales grew by 19.6% yoy and 16.7% yoy for car and motorcycle, respectively.
§ Subsidized fuel consumption has reached 39.6% of quota as of May 22nd. Government eyes to limit subsidized fuel in September.

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