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Kamis, 13 Januari 2011

Credit Suisse Non-Japan Asia Economics - Which countries' trade balance are more vulnerable to a food price hike?

 As a follow-up to our last report, Feeding Asia inflation: assessing the food price risk, we explore which countries are the winners and losers from rise in global food prices in terms of trade balance
and GDP.
 Judging by the net export position for food, Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia stand out as the countries that are likely to benefit from higher global food prices.
 Most countries that are net food importers are also net fuel importers, except Thailand, and to a lesser extent India.
 In the event that both fuel and food prices edge higher, trade balance of Korea, the Philippines and Singapore will be the most vulnerable.

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