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Selasa, 21 Juni 2011

Banking Credit growth target revision - DBS

It was reported that a few of the major banks are looking to revise their credit targets for this year. For instance, Bank Mandiri (BMRI) initially targeted credit growth of 18-20%. YTD April 2011, BMRI has in fact managed credit growth of 25%. According to Pahala Mansyuri, BMRI’s Director and CFO, the bank is in internal talks on a new target, which we believe could be higher. BMRI is aggressively expanding its loan base as their LDR is at 72%, still below the minimum requirement of 78%. It is also reported that two other banks, Bank Tabungan Negara (BBTN) and Panin Bank, are also looking to revise credit growth targets up. We believe BBTN could achieve loan growth of 27% for 2011. While credit disbursement was slow in 1Q11 partly due to seasonality and the unresolved BPHTB issue which a lot of developers are waiting for. Other major banks like BBRI, BBNI, BBCA and OCBC NISP are still maintaining their original credit growth targets for now. According to Indonesia Central Bank Governor, Darmin Nasution, credit growth for this year could potentially reach 26%. In 4M11, credit growth was 23.3% y-o-y.

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