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Selasa, 10 Mei 2011

Economy: Rupiah weakened slightly on easing global economic outlook - Mandiri

Rupiah weakened slightly on easing global economic outlook

Market review
§ Weaker US labor data and tighter monetary policy in Asia have increased concerns over slower global economic growth momentum. The rupiah and Jakarta stock market index slipped. Commodities dropped last week.

Global economic update
§ High unemployment in the US and escalating fiscal problem in European countries will curtail demand from advance countries.
§ At the same time, inflationary pressures continue to loom in Asia region, which prompted further monetary policy tightening.

Domestic economic update
§ Indonesian economic growth momentum remained strong, despite of slower 1Q11 GDP growth of 6.46% yoy in 1Q11 (vs. 6.9% yoy in 4Q10). Slower GDP growth in 1Q11 was attributed to weaker external demand.
§ Apr11 inflation eased to 6.16% yoy in April, but core pressures continued to increase. Yet, we expect no interest rate hike this week.
§ Consumer confidence remained strong in April, despite of rising commodity prices
§ Pressure on budget rises, as oil lifting and subsidized fuel consumption quota missed government budget target.

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