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Rabu, 13 Juli 2011

Global economy still seems gloomy; 2011 revised budget overview - Mandiri

Market review
§ Fears of euro-zone debt contagion coupled with deteriorating US labor market still clouded sentiment. The rupiah appreciated 2% while the stock market rallied to 4,004 historical high.

Global economic update
· Another interest rate hike in Euro-zone and China, while UK and Malaysia stayed firm.
· US labor market worsened in Jun11 and participation rate went downhill.
· Moody’s cut Portugal credit rating to below investment grade; S&P would consider Greece to be in a selective default rating.
· Inflation accelerated for China, Brazil and the Philippines.

Domestic economic update
· Consumer confidence is more robust in Jun11.
· Government revised their budget, yet on heavy subsidy spending.
· Agreement on macro assumptions lowers probability of fuel price increase this year.

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