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Kamis, 13 Januari 2011

Mandiri Sekuritas Borneo Lumbung: Key takeaways from meeting with the management (BORN, Rp 1,670, Not rated)

􀂄 Management indicated FY10 coal production and sales volume reached 1.95Mt and 1.65Mt respectively and average selling price of US$ 185/ton. These numbers will lead to indicated FY10 revenue of Rp 2.7tn which significantly higher than FY09 revenue of Rp 200bn.

􀂄 Amid coal price hike, management has indicated significant higher selling price for 1Q11 shipment at range US$ 240-275/ton.

􀂄 It exports most of its coal to North Asia with China as the main destination. It has 3 year agreement with Glencore as its exclusive marketing agent for 2Mtpa off take which paying 4.5% fee.

􀂄 For FY11 it aims 3.8Mt coal production while 2Mt has been contracted with its Chinese customers with quarterly pricing. It also aims to increase its installed capacity up to 5Mtpa by 2H11 from currently 3.6Mtpa.

􀂄 FY11F capex is allocated at US$ 185mn which around US$ 170mn will be used for equipments.

􀂄 Currently we have no rating on the stock. Based on consensus BORN is trading at 15.5xPER11F.

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