IHSG kembali menembus support dari uptrend linenya. Sekali lagi menunjukkan False Break. Tampaknya tidak sedikit investor yang dibuat frustrasi oleh pergerakan IHSG sejak Bulan Oktober 2010 hingga kemarin 7 Januari 2011. Setelah 3 bulan terlewati, kita mengarungi market yang sedang konsolidasi berat di range 3520 – 3780an. Konsolidasi yang lama bisa bermakna ganda, ada akumulasi atau distribusi. Kita semua terkecoh walau ada beberapa saham yang kuat naiknya dan masih tetap uptrend hingga sekarang. Tapi secara overall membuat banyak orang frustrasi. Merujuk artikel kami ‘IHSG Berpeluang Terus Melemah Dengan Target 3380‘ Jika terjadi rebound, selama IHSG masih lebih rendah dari 3788, maka segala rebound yang terjadi berpotensi menjadi jebakan bagi para trader.
Bagaimana arah IHSG selanjutnya? Melihat IHSG yang tidak mampu break all time high 3788 dan penutupan kemarin yang menembus ke bawah support kuat 3717 serta support garis MA20, tampaknya kita semua perlu berhati – hati karena skenario IHSG menuju 3350-an masih mungkin terjadi. Perhatikan pula IHSG membentuk formasi Triple Top yang jika support di 3530-an ditembus akan terkonfirmasi dan menyeret IHSG turun terus. Jika anda disiplin dalam trading, beberapa saham seharusnya sudah di cutloss sesuai trading plan masing – masing dan beberapa lagi belum karena masih cukup kuat bertahan di atas. Apakah harus cutloss semua, jangan dulu selama trading plan belum memberikan sinyal cutloss. Di dalam kolam yang terombang ambing selalu ada ikan yang dapat terbang. Oleh karena itu, jual lah saham anda saat chart terkonfirmasi menyuruhnya:)
IHSG Still Going Down, Need Fresh Power to Break up. Stick with your trading plan tightly!
Minggu, 09 Januari 2011
GaleriSaham.com Frustrating IHSG, Beware Triple Top Formation, Still on Scenario to 3350
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