By Goldrunner with Lorimer Wilson
I am at a loss for words (something that rarely happens to me) as to why so many in the Precious Metals Sector have become so negative at this juncture in this Historic Precious Metals Bull Market. No doubt, many have “2008-itis”, thinking that the Dow is going to crash. Of course, that has been the daily mantra since the top in 2000, hasn’t it?
So says Goldrunner in his latest article just posted on his brand new site going on to say: There is no doubt that the economy continues to deteriorate, and there is no doubt that the type of program of Dollar Inflation in place, debt monetization, will do little to directly help the economy. The program of Dollar Inflation through US Debt monetization, however, keeps rates unreasonably low (negative real rates), and it also creates an inflationary pricing environment. It is difficult for the price of things with intrinsic value to fall in “price” with such a massive Dollar Inflation program underway.
The Intrinsic Value of Gold and Silver is on the Rise
When it comes to things with intrinsic value, Gold and Silver have sat at the top rung on the valuation ladder for thousands of years and the Gold and Silver mining companies have produced the Gold and Silver as well as holding huge reserves in the ground.
Have you shopped for groceries, lately? Do you pay any bills? Have you looked at the price of the various commodities, lately? Things with intrinsic value are seeing sharp increases in price, and these price rises are all a function of the massive Dollar Inflation underway. The deflationists who held their tunnel vision on the deteriorating state of the economy back in late 2008 and into 2009 (and still do to a large extent) said it couldn’t happen. They said that we could not see an inflationary price environment going forward because the Federal Reserve Multiplier System via loans from banks was dead in the water. Well, the FRB multiplier system is not creating the price rises, today. The sharply rising price environment is purely compliments of the massive Dollar inflation via debt monetization.
The Value of the US Dollar is Falling
As the Dollar Inflation continues, the “Value of the US Dollar” falls. As I showed several years ago in anticipation of today, you will not see the extent of the fall in value of the US Dollar via the Dollar Index because that index is a false “pricing system” for the Dollar- one created to protect the US Dollar during times when it is being aggressively printed/ inflated/ devalued. Once global competitive currency devaluations are in play (like today) you will only see the true extent of the fall in value of the US Dollar by looking at the chart of Gold in Dollars. $Gold is around all-time highs, and it will go higher as the Dollar Inflation program continues.
How can the Dollar Inflation programs be abandoned, today? Governments, corporations, and individuals are all underwater since they never bothered to fund their obligations for the future. The only choice that the Fed has at this time is to continue to print and to devalue the US Dollar in an effort to devalue debt and unfunded entitlements that are basically “fixed” in price by contract. As things of value rise via price inflation, the constantly priced debt and entitlements will effectively be devalued against them.
The Gold Parabola Continues to Angle Higher
Sure we will see corrections as the Gold parabola angles higher, but as a parabola grows the up-moves get longer in amplitude while the corrections get shorter in duration. I like to follow the late 70’s Gold Parabola as a comparison to where we are in the Gold Bull, today. At this point in the late 70’s Gold, Silver, and the Precious Metals Stocks exploded higher before reaching an intermediate-term top. The late moves in an up-cycle are almost always the biggest moves in the cycle for the Gold and Silver Sectors. Sure a correction is coming, but I believe that the coming intermediate-term correction is still months off; and I believe that the correction from that higher point will not retrace back down to where we are today.
Selasa, 15 Maret 2011
Langganan:
Posting Komentar (Atom)
-
►
2014
(7)
- ► 04/06 - 04/13 (1)
- ► 03/09 - 03/16 (1)
- ► 02/23 - 03/02 (1)
- ► 02/16 - 02/23 (1)
- ► 01/19 - 01/26 (1)
- ► 01/05 - 01/12 (2)
-
►
2013
(18)
- ► 12/29 - 01/05 (1)
- ► 07/07 - 07/14 (1)
- ► 05/19 - 05/26 (1)
- ► 04/14 - 04/21 (1)
- ► 03/17 - 03/24 (1)
- ► 02/17 - 02/24 (3)
- ► 02/10 - 02/17 (6)
- ► 01/27 - 02/03 (3)
- ► 01/06 - 01/13 (1)
-
►
2012
(80)
- ► 12/30 - 01/06 (1)
- ► 12/23 - 12/30 (1)
- ► 12/16 - 12/23 (5)
- ► 12/02 - 12/09 (5)
- ► 11/25 - 12/02 (2)
- ► 11/11 - 11/18 (1)
- ► 11/04 - 11/11 (1)
- ► 10/21 - 10/28 (2)
- ► 10/14 - 10/21 (3)
- ► 10/07 - 10/14 (2)
- ► 09/30 - 10/07 (4)
- ► 09/23 - 09/30 (3)
- ► 09/16 - 09/23 (1)
- ► 09/09 - 09/16 (1)
- ► 09/02 - 09/09 (4)
- ► 08/26 - 09/02 (3)
- ► 08/19 - 08/26 (2)
- ► 08/12 - 08/19 (1)
- ► 08/05 - 08/12 (7)
- ► 07/29 - 08/05 (2)
- ► 07/22 - 07/29 (3)
- ► 07/15 - 07/22 (3)
- ► 07/08 - 07/15 (4)
- ► 07/01 - 07/08 (5)
- ► 06/17 - 06/24 (3)
- ► 06/10 - 06/17 (1)
- ► 06/03 - 06/10 (1)
- ► 05/27 - 06/03 (1)
- ► 05/20 - 05/27 (1)
- ► 04/29 - 05/06 (1)
- ► 04/22 - 04/29 (1)
- ► 04/08 - 04/15 (2)
- ► 04/01 - 04/08 (1)
- ► 03/25 - 04/01 (2)
-
▼
2011
(3338)
- ► 10/02 - 10/09 (2)
- ► 09/18 - 09/25 (20)
- ► 09/11 - 09/18 (76)
- ► 09/04 - 09/11 (37)
- ► 08/21 - 08/28 (60)
- ► 08/14 - 08/21 (76)
- ► 08/07 - 08/14 (99)
- ► 07/31 - 08/07 (114)
- ► 07/24 - 07/31 (99)
- ► 07/17 - 07/24 (55)
- ► 07/10 - 07/17 (59)
- ► 07/03 - 07/10 (51)
- ► 06/26 - 07/03 (56)
- ► 06/19 - 06/26 (64)
- ► 06/12 - 06/19 (83)
- ► 06/05 - 06/12 (73)
- ► 05/29 - 06/05 (75)
- ► 05/22 - 05/29 (52)
- ► 05/15 - 05/22 (69)
- ► 05/08 - 05/15 (67)
- ► 05/01 - 05/08 (133)
- ► 04/24 - 05/01 (167)
- ► 04/17 - 04/24 (55)
- ► 04/10 - 04/17 (131)
- ► 04/03 - 04/10 (107)
- ► 03/27 - 04/03 (147)
- ► 03/20 - 03/27 (131)
-
▼
03/13 - 03/20
(148)
- IDX Composite Ends Marginally Higher - The Indones...
- China raises bank reserves to cool lending - Assoc...
- Thermal Coal Falls 4.87% - The Indonesia Today
- Indorama Net Profit Soars 128% - The Indonesia Today
- Global Equity Strategist - Japanese Earthquake: Fi...
- Sampoerna Agro: Buy; Rp2,750; TP Rp4,625; SGRO IJ ...
- Cement Sector Update Faster February - Bahana Se...
- Telkom - FY10 result guidance is below projection ...
- United Tractor (UNTR IJ) re-initiate coverage OPF;...
- ITMG:Awakening the animal spirit - Mandiri Sekuritas
- ENRG and SMCB trade idea (from sales) - JP Morgan
- Indonesia's Timah plans March tin shipment to Japa...
- Indonesia is Best Emerging Market, Blackstone’s St...
- Sales Flat, Trikomsel Profit Jumps 74% to Rp204 Bi...
- Ekspansi Besar-Besaran, Jasa Marga Siapkan Rp30 T ...
- Bakrie Sumatera 2010 Profit Surges 219% - The Indo...
- Jepang Kembali Dialiri Dana USD37 Miliar - OkeZone
- Indonesia Faces Risk Core Inflation Will Climb, Fi...
- Asia Coal-Thermal coal bearish short-term on Japan...
- Nuclear crisis has implications for coal - Financi...
- Pasar Tak Bagus, Telkom Berencana Buy Back Saham -...
- Indocement Profit Grows 17.4% to Rp3.2 Trillion - ...
- HM Sampoerna Records Rp6.42 Trillion Profit - The ...
- Medco Energi & convertible bonds - Insider Stories
- Fitch: Indonesia Baru Investment Grade Setahun Lag...
- Fitch: Reformasi Struktural Akan Mempercepat Inves...
- Rating Bank dan Sektor Telekomunikasi Positif - Te...
- PTPP FY10 net income increases 23.51% - Insider St...
- RUU Mata Uang Muluskan Rencana Redenominasi Rupiah...
- Antam seeks US$1 billion financing - Insider Stories
- Bank Mandiri to Acquire Insurance Firm in Q3 - The...
- Indika to launch US$300 mio bonds - Insider Stories
- Akuisisi Perusahaan Sawit, Tiga Pilar Terbitkan Ob...
- Laba AISA Melesat 84,79% di 2010 - TopSaham
- Implications of Japan's Earthquake for the Region ...
- Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ), Turnaround?, from Swati Cho...
- BNI (BBNI.JK, Rp 3,675, O, TP Rp 4,300) – Looking ...
- After the quake: Our view on sector impact - Credi...
- Global, GEM & Indonesia Equity Strategy! (update1)...
- Bank Negara Indonesia - Alert: NP Slightly Above C...
- Bank Bukopin Posts 36% Profit Growth - The Indones...
- Indonesia Stocks: Energi Mega, Gas Negara, Interna...
- Telkom Incar Perusahaan Telco Kamboja - VivaNews
- CPO futures bearish amid lack of demand - Business...
- S&P 500 Erases 2011 Gain on Japan Concern; Treasur...
- Elnusa eyeing Rp5.5 trio revenue in 2011 - Insider...
- Jepang Membaik, Pabrik Toyota Kembali Beroperasi B...
- BW Plantation 2M FFB output soars 65% - Insider St...
- EXCL Siapkan Capex US$500 Juta di 2011 - TopSaham
- Multistrada eyeing Rp3.15 trio sales - Insider Sto...
- MNC Digugat Rp 3,7 Triliun Terkait IPO - Detikfinance
- Bank Central Asia - Loses Cobranding relationship ...
- Banking:BNII and BNGA: post acquisition - Mandiri ...
- Moody's Turunkan Peringkat Utang Portugal - Inilah...
- BUMA seeks US$750 mio for refinancing - Insider St...
- Bank Mandiri Optimistis Laba Dua Dijit Akhir Tahun...
- XL Axiata eyeing 10% growth in earning - Insider S...
- Laba Bank BNI Melonjak 65% di 2010 - TopSaham
- Global, GEM & Indonesia Equity Strategy! - Credit ...
- TOTL:High-rise player - Mandiri Sekuritas
- Flavour (Indo): Sean Darby, BNI, Budget - Nomura
- Commodity Special Report - Japanese earthquake and...
- Japan Daily Wednesday, March 16, 2011
- Indo Tambangraya Increases Capex to $126 Million -...
- Elnusa FY10 earning plunges 86.29% - Insider Stories
- BW Plantation CPO Output Surges 62% - The Indonesi...
- Automotive Time to re-look at tyre sector - DBS ...
- Bank Negara Indonesia: Buy; Rp3,675; TP Rp4,300; B...
- Holding On - CLSA Indo
- PLN transformation - CLSA Indo
- United Tractors - Still assessing impact from Japa...
- Indonesia Stocks: Bakrie Sumatera, Mandiri, Medco ...
- Isu repatriasi topang apresiasi Yen - Bisnis Indon...
- Asian markets stage rebound, but Nikkei at lowest ...
- Bank of Japan Fails to Contain Investor Panic as N...
- Japan pumps in another US$61.2bil into financial m...
- Fed Upgrades Economic Outlook While Affirming Bond...
- Fed comments rescue Wall Street from deeper Japan ...
- Crude Palm Oil Rebounds On Dip-Buying, Short Cover...
- Medco Energy - Ready for the big league (MEDC-BUY-...
- ANTM:Waiting game - Mandiri Sekuritas
- Metals Demand in Japan May Tumble as Quake Damage,...
- Metal sector unattractive despite Metals boom - Co...
- Spot coking coal fluctuates on higher freight;no c...
- Vallar seeks higher stake in BUMI - Insider Stories
- Valuasi Saham Tokyo Anjlok US$285 Miliar - Bisnis ...
- BJBR to propose Rp60.33 dividend - Insider Stories
- United Tractors: Buy; Rp22,400; TP Rp27,200; UNTR ...
- Semen Gresik - Formal Board of Directors finally i...
- Re-iterating BUY, BUMI, thermal tail winds - CLSA ...
- Jasa Marga (JSMR) taking over stalled toll road pr...
- Flavour (Indo): Coal, Astra Int, Garuda, Jasa Marg...
- Weekly Debt Research (07-11-Mar-2011) Rally on rob...
- MFIN Resilient to Continue - Indopremier Securities
- CIMB-Trader-15Mar11-AM - CIMB Securities
- Indonesia strategy Asia marketing feedback - Macq...
- Indonesia Stocks: Indo Tambangraya, Garuda, United...
- Moody's: Limited Rating Impact in Japan for Financ...
- Moody's: Japan to Recover from Quake; Fiscal Effec...
- Matahari in Talks to Sell 20%-30% Stake - Dow Jones
- ► 03/06 - 03/13 (114)
- ► 02/27 - 03/06 (141)
- ► 02/20 - 02/27 (113)
- ► 02/13 - 02/20 (58)
- ► 02/06 - 02/13 (111)
- ► 01/30 - 02/06 (90)
- ► 01/23 - 01/30 (119)
- ► 01/16 - 01/23 (85)
- ► 01/09 - 01/16 (91)
- ► 01/02 - 01/09 (110)
Tidak ada komentar:
Posting Komentar