· The global investors became jittery after S&P, Fitch and Moody’s downgraded the rating and outlook of Egypt sovereign bonds. These negative sentiments will continue in the today market that may bring IDR to depreciate further. Yet we expect IDR may have limited depreciation to Rp.9.055 per USD due to BI intervention.
· The Chairman of Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) signaled that January inflation may hit around 1% mom, higher than the market consensus of 0.71% mom. BPS will announce the figure this afternoon. The market may not expect the inflation will go above 1%, at the same time BI may keep BI rate to stay at 6.5%.
· The world keeps their eyes on Egypt and its neighborhood of middle-east countries. Political instability in Egypt may bring fundamentalist anti US, Europe and Israel to take over the government. The tension may lift the crude oil price to US$100 pbrl very soon.
Selasa, 01 Februari 2011
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