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Senin, 07 Februari 2011

Daily Economic Review Senin 7 Februari 2011 - Samuel Sekuritas

·        Indonesian market was in euphoria after BI raised the rate by 25 bps to 6.75%. At the same time, the pressure from WTI price is weakened as investors believe that President of Egypt will step down soon. The WTI price has dropped to US$89.03 prbl. The euphoria in the Indonesia market may continue to make IDR stronger to Rp.8.950 per USD in the today market.

·        BI raised the benchmark rate by 25 bps to 6.75% to reduce imported inflation which may contributes about 30% to total Consumer Price Index (CPI). The IDR appreciation will help to lower cost of production (exchange rate pass through effect). The market responded positively to the policy.

·        Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) signed that Q4 growth may expand by 6% for FY 2010 moreover it will increase by almost 7% yoy in Q4-2010. This prediction seems to beat median consensus of 6.23% yoy. If this happens, the Indonesian economic fundamental will stay strong.

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