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Rabu, 05 Januari 2011

Credit Suisse Indonesia Market Strategy - With inflation risk rising, we recommend investors to focus on coal and undemanding stocks

We believe inflation is one of Indonesia’s biggest risk factors. However, despite the inflation risk rising in December, core inflation remains moderate. We expect BI to maintain its low policy rate until 1Q11, before it starts raising it to 7.5% by year-end.
● While we remain structurally positive on the market, the rising inflation risk, relatively high valuations, and strong performance in 2010, we recommend investors to avoid the consumer sector.
● As mentioned in our report, Structural Rerating Continues, published on 18 November 2010, our biggest OVERWEIGHT is the coal sector, driven by: 1) valuations, 2) our positive view on coal prices, 3) strong earnings momentum, driven by potential recovery from the negative impact of the heavy rains in 2010. Our

top three coal stock picks are United Tractors, ITMG, and ADRO.

● In addition to coal names, we also recommend investors to focus on stocks with undemanding valuations – BMRI, ISAT, SMGR, and Astra International (as core holding for Indonesia).
Posted by Saham Pilihan at 09.45

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