Jakarta - Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) optimis inflasi pada Juli 2011 tak akan menyentuh angka 'keramat' 1%. Berdasarkan perhitungan sementara, kisaran inflasi pada bulan ini berada direntang 0,5-0,7% saja.
"Yang pasti di bawah 1% dan year on year (YoY) di bawah 5%, angkanya 0,5-0,7%. Nggak sampai 1%. Pasti di bawah 1%," kata Kepala BPS Rusman Heriawan kepada detikFinance, Minggu (31/7/2011)
Ia mengatakan selama ini ada kekhawatiran bahwa kenaikan harga bahan pokok seperti beras, telor dan daging ayam, bahkan pengeluaran tahun ajaran baru akan mengerek inflasi lebih tinggi di Juli. Namun ia mengingatkan, saat bulan bersamaan banyak faktor lain yang juga memberi sumbangan signifikan pada deflasi.
"Selama ini orang risau beras, telur dan daging ayam naik. Tapi ingat ada yang menyumbang deflasi juga seperti turunnya harga bawang merah, cabe rawit, minyak goreng, gula pasir yang bobotnya lumayan," katanya.
Rusman menambahkan, kondisi inflasi Juli 2010 lalu mencapai 1,57%, sementara Juli tahun ini diperkirakan di bawah 1%. Maka ia optimis secara YoY inflasi sampai Juli 2011 masih di bawah 5%. Sementara target inflasi YoY tahun 2011 ini berdasarkan APBN Perubahan sebesar 5,65 %.
Sebelumnya BPS mengumumkan pada Juni 2011 terjadi inflasi 0,55%, penyumbang tertinggi dari kenaikan harga beras. Inflasi melonjak tajam karena adanya kenaikan harga bahan pokok di minggu kempat Juni.
Inflasi kumulatif Januari-Juni (semester I) 2011 adalah 1,06%, sementara inflasi YoY di Juni mencapai 5,54%, turun dari 5,98% di Mei karena pada Juni 2010 angka inflasi adalah 0,97%.
Minggu, 31 Juli 2011
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