Banking analyst Dick Bove, who a month ago rocked the markets with his call to sell everything in sight, has changed gears.
Now, Bove is advising to buy.
With both hands.
“In the last few days I started looking at valuations of these companies and was just shocked by what I saw,” said the Rochdale Securities vice president of equity research. “These stocks are selling in many cases at lower valuations than the first quarter of 2009, which was supposedly the bottom.”
So why the change of heart?
In part, it stems from the very irrational market behavior he cited when first delivering his sell admonition in late July.
The same investors who are selling stocks in banks are taking the proceeds and sticking them right back into the very banks whose stocks they are selling.
In the past two weeks, that has come to the tune of $200 billion in new deposits for banks whose capital continues to be in question as the economy slides, rates stay near zero and capital requirements rise.
Bank of America [BAC 6.30 -0.12 (-1.87%) ], for instance, is sitting on $140 billion in cash, more than its total tangible book value, yet its market cap is $65 billion. The company’s stock has slid more than 30 percent in the past month.
“What the market is saying is that this thing isn’t even worth its liquidation value when its liquidation value is in cash,” Bove said in an interview.
Bank of New York Mellon [BK 19.50 0.61 (+3.23%) ] is in a similar situation and “you can play the same game at Citigroup [C 27.32 1.26 (+4.83%) ], Northern Trust [NTRS 36.21 1.11 (+3.16%) ], State Street [STT 33.07 1.30 (+4.09%) ],” he said.
“What you have at the moment is the market making the assessment that these companies aren’t even worth their liquidation value, if their liquidation value is 100 percent cash,” he said. “You have to ask yourself what is going on.”
Bove said the more than 20 percent slide since he made his sell call—effectively a trip into bear market territory for the sector—is enough.
“The stocks came down 22 percent. So then you have to say, what are these stocks worth now?’” he said. “Is there any example of a market collapse when there’s $200 billion that flows into the banking system in a two-week period? Can the economy really become unstuck when it’s drowning in excess liquidity? It doesn’t make sense.”
Rabu, 24 Agustus 2011
Langganan:
Posting Komentar (Atom)
-
►
2014
(7)
- ► 04/06 - 04/13 (1)
- ► 03/09 - 03/16 (1)
- ► 02/23 - 03/02 (1)
- ► 02/16 - 02/23 (1)
- ► 01/19 - 01/26 (1)
- ► 01/05 - 01/12 (2)
-
►
2013
(18)
- ► 12/29 - 01/05 (1)
- ► 07/07 - 07/14 (1)
- ► 05/19 - 05/26 (1)
- ► 04/14 - 04/21 (1)
- ► 03/17 - 03/24 (1)
- ► 02/17 - 02/24 (3)
- ► 02/10 - 02/17 (6)
- ► 01/27 - 02/03 (3)
- ► 01/06 - 01/13 (1)
-
►
2012
(80)
- ► 12/30 - 01/06 (1)
- ► 12/23 - 12/30 (1)
- ► 12/16 - 12/23 (5)
- ► 12/02 - 12/09 (5)
- ► 11/25 - 12/02 (2)
- ► 11/11 - 11/18 (1)
- ► 11/04 - 11/11 (1)
- ► 10/21 - 10/28 (2)
- ► 10/14 - 10/21 (3)
- ► 10/07 - 10/14 (2)
- ► 09/30 - 10/07 (4)
- ► 09/23 - 09/30 (3)
- ► 09/16 - 09/23 (1)
- ► 09/09 - 09/16 (1)
- ► 09/02 - 09/09 (4)
- ► 08/26 - 09/02 (3)
- ► 08/19 - 08/26 (2)
- ► 08/12 - 08/19 (1)
- ► 08/05 - 08/12 (7)
- ► 07/29 - 08/05 (2)
- ► 07/22 - 07/29 (3)
- ► 07/15 - 07/22 (3)
- ► 07/08 - 07/15 (4)
- ► 07/01 - 07/08 (5)
- ► 06/17 - 06/24 (3)
- ► 06/10 - 06/17 (1)
- ► 06/03 - 06/10 (1)
- ► 05/27 - 06/03 (1)
- ► 05/20 - 05/27 (1)
- ► 04/29 - 05/06 (1)
- ► 04/22 - 04/29 (1)
- ► 04/08 - 04/15 (2)
- ► 04/01 - 04/08 (1)
- ► 03/25 - 04/01 (2)
-
▼
2011
(3338)
- ► 10/02 - 10/09 (2)
- ► 09/18 - 09/25 (20)
- ► 09/11 - 09/18 (76)
- ► 09/04 - 09/11 (37)
-
▼
08/21 - 08/28
(60)
- Tanpa judul
- Stocks in U.S. Rise After Durable-Goods Orders, Ho...
- Strong durable goods data ease recession fears - R...
- Gold prices plunge as economic fears ease, for now...
- Stocks Climb in Europe on Better-Than-Estimated U....
- QE3 is Unlikely: Ex-Council of Economic Advisors C...
- Some Gold Bulls Say Time to Cash In, Rally Overdon...
- Bukit Asam to Acquire 30% Shares in Adani Global's...
- Indofood H1 Profit Soars 42% - The Indonesia Today
- Moody's Cuts Japan Rating One Notch to Aa3 - CNBC
- Bove: I Changed My Mind, Buy the Bank Stocks - CNBC
- Hopes for another Fed rescue drive 3 percent rally...
- Scrapping Regulations Will Save Businesses $10 Bil...
- Copper prices push up on Bernanke, China imports -...
- Crude Palm Oil At One-Week High On Soyoil, Export ...
- Adaro 'Caplok' Mustika Indah US$ 222,5 Juta - Det...
- Astra Agro 7M CPO sales rises 20.1% - Insider Stories
- Semen Gresik Segera Operasikan Dua Pabrik Baru - R...
- Sims Jaya back door listing via Myoh - Insider Sto...
- PT International Nickel Indonesia Tbk Potentiall...
- BWPT Promising growth = AAA
- JSMR 1H11: Indonesia’s growth-proxy - AAA
- UNTR Impressive Result TP Rp 32,700 - AAA
- Bumi Minerals: 1H11 result 41% consensus (BRMS, Rp...
- Bumi Resources: Plan to buy back up to Rp3.9tn (Rp...
- London Sumatra: 1H11 net income beats consensus (6...
- Bank Jabar Banten: key takeaways from our visit to...
- Faith Mount Divests 6.95% Intiland Shares - The In...
- Bumi Allocates Rp3.9 Trillion for Share Buyback - ...
- London Sumatera H1 Profit Doubled - The Indonesia ...
- Clipan Finance to Raise Rp585.74 billion via Right...
- Saham berjangka Jepang naik dipicu data industri A...
- Indonesia Stocks: Bumi Resources, Bank Danamon, Se...
- BUMI pertahankan skenario pembayaran utang kepada ...
- Bargain hunters tiptoe back but remain cautious - ...
- Markets Could Be Making a Losing Bet on More Fed E...
- Merkel Says She’ll Resist Pressure for Euro Bond -...
- Indeks Kospi menguat 0,99% ke 1.762,18 - Bisnis In...
- Summarecon mulls rights issue to acquire land - Bi...
- XL Axiata Raises Capex to $850 Million - The Indon...
- Bank Saudara H1 Profit Jumps 71% - The Indonesia T...
- Kertas Basuki to Issue New Shares for Debt Convers...
- UPDATE 1-Indonesia's Bumi Resources Q2 net up 20 p...
- Bumi Resources: “clean” 2Q11 net income of US$118....
- Bumi Resources - 2Q preliminary operating data; st...
- SMRA in CLSA property access day Singapore CLSA
- Agung Podomoro: APLN sets Rp1.2tn bonds with 10% a...
- Bakrie Sumatera Plantations: 1H11 profit surprise ...
- Automotive: July11 official domestic car and motor...
- Why the U.S. Is Not Japan - Market Beat WJS
- Short Term Trends in Gold, Silver, Commodities, Oi...
- Is there a gold bubble now? - The Economic Times
- Bank Danamon sets rights issue at Rp4,300 - Inside...
- Bakrie Toll buys 85% Cibitung Tollways - Insider S...
- United Tractors' Own Coal Output Down 15% - The In...
- Pamapersada Coal Production Grows 6.7%, Overburden...
- Komatsu July Sales Down 1.9% - The Indonesia Today
- Jasa Marga to Build 215-Km Toll Road - The Indones...
- Bakrie aims to issue Rp1 trio bonds - Insider Stories
- BNBR returns to Rp45.49 bio profit - Insider Stories
- ► 08/14 - 08/21 (76)
- ► 08/07 - 08/14 (99)
- ► 07/31 - 08/07 (114)
- ► 07/24 - 07/31 (99)
- ► 07/17 - 07/24 (55)
- ► 07/10 - 07/17 (59)
- ► 07/03 - 07/10 (51)
- ► 06/26 - 07/03 (56)
- ► 06/19 - 06/26 (64)
- ► 06/12 - 06/19 (83)
- ► 06/05 - 06/12 (73)
- ► 05/29 - 06/05 (75)
- ► 05/22 - 05/29 (52)
- ► 05/15 - 05/22 (69)
- ► 05/08 - 05/15 (67)
- ► 05/01 - 05/08 (133)
- ► 04/24 - 05/01 (167)
- ► 04/17 - 04/24 (55)
- ► 04/10 - 04/17 (131)
- ► 04/03 - 04/10 (107)
- ► 03/27 - 04/03 (147)
- ► 03/20 - 03/27 (131)
- ► 03/13 - 03/20 (148)
- ► 03/06 - 03/13 (114)
- ► 02/27 - 03/06 (141)
- ► 02/20 - 02/27 (113)
- ► 02/13 - 02/20 (58)
- ► 02/06 - 02/13 (111)
- ► 01/30 - 02/06 (90)
- ► 01/23 - 01/30 (119)
- ► 01/16 - 01/23 (85)
- ► 01/09 - 01/16 (91)
- ► 01/02 - 01/09 (110)
Tidak ada komentar:
Posting Komentar